Contributors to Papers Written for This Volume	ix
Introduction by the Editors	xi
Introduction to the List of Ward Edwards’s Publications	xiii
Chronological List of Publications Written or Co-Authored by Ward Edwards	xv
I Papers on Behavioral Decision Theory
Chapter 1. Edwards, W. (1954). The theory of decision making. Psychological Bulletin, 51, 380–417	3
Chapter 2. Edwards, W. (1961). Behavioral decision theory. Annual Review of Psychology, 1961, 12, 473–498	33
Chapter 3. Edwards, W. (1961). Probability learning in 1000 trials. Journal of Experimental Psychology, 62, 385–394	52
Chapter 4. Edwards, W. (1962). Dynamic decision theory and probabilistic information processing. Human Factors, 4, 59–73	62
Chapter 5. Edwards, W. (1962). Subjective probabilities inferred from decisions. Psychological Review, 69, 109–135	76
Chapter 6. Phillips, L. D., & Edwards, W. (1966). Conservatism in a simple probability inference task. Journal of Experimental Psychology, 72, 346–354	98
Chapter 7. Miller, L. W., Kaplan, R. J., & Edwards, W. (1969). JUDGE: A laboratory evaluation. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 4, 97–111	109
Chapter 8. Edwards, W. (1971). Bayesian and regression models of human information processing—A myopic perspective. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 6, 639–648	119
Chapter 9. Fryback, D. G., & Edwards, W. (1973). Choices among bets by Las Vegas gamblers: Absolute and contextual effects. Journal of Experimental Psychology, 98, 271–278	125
Chapter 10. Edwards, W. (1998). Hailfinder: Tools for and experiences with Bayesian normative modeling. American Psychologist, 53, 416–428	134
II Papers on Statistics and Methodology
Chapter 11. Edwards, W. (1961). Costs and payoffs are instructions. Psychological Review, 68, 275–284	153
Chapter 12. Edwards, W., Lindman, H., & Savage, L. J. (1963). Bayesian statistical inference for psychological research. Psychological Review, 70, 193–242	161
Chapter 13. Edwards, W. (1965). Tactical note on the relation between scientific and statistical hypotheses. Psychological Bulletin, 63, 400–402	203
Chapter 14. Slovic, P., Lichtenstein, S., & Edwards, W. (1965). Boredom-induced changes in preferences among bets. American Journal of Psychology, 78, 208–217	207
Chapter 15. Edwards, W. (1983). Human cognitive capabilities, representativeness, and ground rules for research. In P. C. Humphreys, O. Svenson, & A. Vari (Eds.), Analyzing and aiding decision processes (pp. 507–513). Amsterdam: North-Holland	215
Chapter 16. von Winterfeldt, D., & Edwards, W. (1982). Costs and payoffs in perceptual research. Psychological Bulletin, 91, 609–622	220
Chapter 17. Edwards, W., Schum, D., & Winkler, R. L. (1990). Murder and (of?) the likelihood principle: A trialogue. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 3, 75–87	234
Chapter 18. Weiss, D. J., & Edwards, W. (2005). A mean for all seasons. Behavior Research Methods, 37, 677–683	246
Chapter 19. Weiss, J. W., Edwards, W., & Weiss, D. J. (written for this volume). The clinical significance decision	256
Chapter 20. Weiss, D. J., Edwards, W., & Shanteau, J. (written for this volume). The measurement of behavior: Indices and standards	262
III Papers on Diagnosis
Chapter 21. Gustafson, D. H., Edwards, W., Phillips, L. D., & Slack, W. V. (1969). Subjective probabilities in medical diagnosis. IEEE Transactions on Man-Machine Systems, MMS-10, 3, 61–65	271
Chapter 22. Edwards, W. (1972). N = 1: Diagnosis in unique cases. In J. A. Jacquez (Ed.) Computer diagnosis and diagnostic methods (pp. 139–151). Springfield, IL: Charles C. Thomas	279
Chapter 23. Edwards, W. (1973). Divide and conquer: How to use likelihood and value judgments in decision making. In R. F. Miles, Jr. (Ed.), Systems concepts: Lectures on contemporary approaches to systems (pp. 87–110). New York: Wiley	287
Chapter 24. Thornbury, J. R., Fryback, D. G., & Edwards, W. (1975). Likelihood ratios as a measure of the diagnostic usefulness of excretory urogram information. Radiology, 114, 561–565	301
Chapter 25. Shanteau, J., Edwards, W., & Weiss, D. J. (written for this volume). Diagnosis and treatment	308
IV Papers on Multiattribute Utility
Chapter 26. Gardiner, P.C., & Edwards, W. (1975). Public values: Multiattribute utility measurement for social decision making. In M. F. Kaplan & S. Schwartz (Eds.), Human judgment and decision processes (pp. 1–37). New York: Academic Press	323
Chapter 27. Edwards, W. (1977). How to use multiattribute utility measurement for social decisionmaking. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, & Cybernetics, 7, 326–340	343
Chapter 28A. Edwards, W. (1979). Multiattribute utility measurement: Evaluating desegregation plans in a highly political context. In R. Perloff (Ed.), Evaluator interventions: Pros and cons (pp. 13–54). Beverly Hills, CA: Sage	364
Chapter 28B. Edwards, W. (1980). Reflections on and criticisms of a highly political multiattribute utility analysis. In L. Cobb & R. M. Thrall (Eds.), Mathematical frontiers of behavioral and policy sciences (pp.157–186). Boulder, CO: Westview Press	383
Chapter 29. Stillwell, W. G., Barron, F. H., & Edwards, W. (1983). Evaluating credit applications: A validation of multiattribute utility weight elicitation techniques. Organizational Behavior & Human Performance, 32, 87–108	395
Chapter 30. Edwards, W. & Barron, F. H. (1994). SMARTS and SMARTER: Improved simple methods for multiattribute utility measurement. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 60, 306–325	409
Chapter 31. Edwards, W., & Fasolo, B. (2001). Decision technology. Annual Review of Psychology, 52, 581–606	422
Chapter 32. Weiss, J. W., Edwards, W., & Mouttapa, M. (written for this volume). The puzzle of adolescent substance initiation	439
Chapter 33. Weiss, J. W., Weiss, D. J., & Edwards, W. (written for this volume). Big decisions, little decisions: The hierarchy of everyday life	451
Chapter 34. Bauer, J., Spackman, S., & Edwards, W. (written for this volume). The clinical decision tree of oral health in geriatrics	461
Chapter 35. Weiss, D. J., Edwards, W., & Weiss, J. W. (written for this volume). Why is a bird in the hand worth two in the bush?	476
V Obituaries
Chapter 36. Dennis G. Fryback, Society for Medical Decision Making Newsletter, Summer 2005	487
Chapter 37. Lawrence D. Phillips, European Association for Decision Making Bulletin, Spring/Summer 2005	490
Chapter 38. David J. Weiss & James Shanteau, Society for Judgment/Decision Making Newsletter, March 2005	495